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</div>BlackRock CEO Larry Fink predicted at the World Economic Forum in Davos in January that Bitcoin could reach $700,000 if sovereign wealth funds allocated 2% to 5% of their portfolios to the cryptocurrency. This prediction is based on BlackRock's ongoing discussions with multiple sovereign wealth funds regarding Bitcoin investment.Fink told Bloomberg that if this trend expands, "the price of each Bitcoin will reach $500,000, $600,000, or even $700,000." He positioned Bitcoin as a hedge against global economic and political instability, rather than a mere investment asset, emphasizing that this wasn't a Bitcoin promotional statement. This prediction contrasts with Peng Xiao, an official at a UAE AI company, who views cryptocurrency as "the currency of AI," highlighting the diverse interpretations of Bitcoin's future value in the market.BlackRock's Actions Extend Beyond Price PredictionBlackRock's involvement extends beyond mere price predictions. On March 25th, Securitize CEO Carlos Domingo announced that BlackRock's Bitcoin USD Institutional Digital Liquidity Fund (BUIDL) would be launched on the Solana blockchain. This move signifies BlackRock's active expansion into the Solana ecosystem, further enhancing its influence in the cryptocurrency market.Launched in March 2024, the BUIDL fund has a market value approaching $2 billion. Securitize COO Michael Sonnenshein told Fortune magazine that the fund aims to make traditional assets more attractive by tokenizing them on the blockchain. This is seen as one of BlackRock's strategies for continuous deployment in the cryptocurrency market, going beyond simple Bitcoin price predictions.Currently, according to Kraken data, Bitcoin's price is $87,746, showing a slight decline. Fink's prediction is significantly higher than the current price, reflecting the high degree of uncertainty surrounding Bitcoin's future price and highlighting the potential influence of institutional investors. BlackRock's actions, whether price predictions or expansion into the Solana ecosystem, will continue to shape the future of the Bitcoin market.

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</div>贝莱德预测比特币2025年价格将达70万美元。贝莱德行政总裁Larry Fink于一月在达沃斯世界经济论坛上预测，若主权财富基金将其投资组合的2%至5%配置于比特币，比特币价格可能达到70万美元。此预测建立在贝莱德与多个主权财富基金就比特币投资进行洽谈的基础上。Fink向彭博社表示，若此趋势扩大，「每个比特币的价格将达到50万、60万甚至70万美元」。 他将比特币定位为对抗全球经济及政治不稳定性的避险工具，而非单纯的投资标的，并强调此言论并非比特币的宣传。 此预测与阿联酋AI公司官肖鹏（Peng Xiao）将加密货币视为「AI的货币」的观点形成对比，展现了市场对比特币未来价值的不同诠释。贝莱德预测比特币 行动也超越了单纯的价格预测值得注意的是，贝莱德的行动也超越了单纯的价格预测。 3月25日，Securitize 行政总裁 Carlos Domingo宣布，贝莱德的美元机构数位流动性基金(BUIDL)将登陆Solana区块链。此举显示贝莱德正积极扩展至Solana生态系，进一步提升其在加密货币市场的影响力。BUIDL基金于2024年3月推出，市值已逼近20亿美元。 Securitize营运长Michael Sonnenshein向《财富》杂志表示，该基金旨在透过将传统资产上链，使其更具吸引力。 此举被视为贝莱德持续布局加密货币市场的策略之一，并非仅止于对比特币价格的单纯预测。截至目前，根据Kraken的数据显示，比特币价格为87,746美元，呈现小幅下跌。 Fink的预测与目前价格相差甚远，反映了市场对比特币未来价格存在高度不确定性，也突显了机构投资者对比特币的潜在影响力。 贝莱德的行动，无论是价格预测还是扩展至Solana生态系，都将持续影响比特币市场的发展走向。

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</div>貝萊德預測比特幣2025年價格將達70萬美元。貝萊德行政總裁Larry Fink於一月在達沃斯世界經濟論壇上預測，若主權財富基金將其投資組合的2%至5%配置於比特幣，比特幣價格可能達到70萬美元。此預測建立在貝萊德與多個主權財富基金就比特幣投資進行洽談的基礎上。Fink向彭博社表示，若此趨勢擴大，「每個比特幣的價格將達到50萬、60萬甚至70萬美元」。 他將比特幣定位為對抗全球經濟及政治不穩定性的避險工具，而非單純的投資標的，並強調此言論並非比特幣的宣傳。 此預測與阿聯酋AI公司官肖鵬（Peng Xiao）將加密貨幣視為「AI的貨幣」的觀點形成對比，展現了市場對比特幣未來價值的不同詮釋。貝萊德預測比特幣 行動也超越了單純的價格預測值得注意的是，貝萊德的行動也超越了單純的價格預測。3月25日，Securitize 行政總裁 Carlos Domingo宣佈，貝萊德的美元機構數位流動性基金(BUIDL)將登陸Solana區塊鏈。此舉顯示貝萊德正積極擴展至Solana生態系，進一步提升其在加密貨幣市場的影響力。BUIDL基金於2024年3月推出，市值已逼近20億美元。Securitize營運長Michael Sonnenshein向《財富》雜誌表示，該基金旨在透過將傳統資產上鏈，使其更具吸引力。 此舉被視為貝萊德持續佈局加密貨幣市場的策略之一，並非僅止於對比特幣價格的單純預測。截至目前，根據Kraken的數據顯示，比特幣價格為87,746美元，呈現小幅下跌。 Fink的預測與目前價格相差甚遠，反映了市場對比特幣未來價格存在高度不確定性，也突顯了機構投資者對比特幣的潛在影響力。 貝萊德的行動，無論是價格預測還是擴展至Solana生態系，都將持續影響比特幣市場的發展走向。

BlackRock predicts Bitcoin price will reach $700,000 by 2025

贝莱德预测比特币2025年价格将达70万美元

貝萊德預測比特幣2025年價格將達70萬美元

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</div>&nbsp;Standard Chartered predicts Bitcoin will reach $200,000 by the end of this year. Geoffrey Kendrick, Standard Chartered's Global Head of Digital Asset Research, reiterated his long-term forecast that Bitcoin will break through the $200,000 mark by the end of 2025. He believes that despite facing short-term uncertainties related to tariffs left over from the Trump administration and the risk of economic recession, these factors actually strengthen his bullish outlook for Bitcoin.&nbsp;Kendrick's analysis points out that the recent decline in Bitcoin's price is approaching the $69,000 to $76,500 range seen after the November 6, 2024 election. He compared Bitcoin's 30-day implied annualized volatility (currently at 55%) with the US "Magnificent Seven" (big tech stocks) and found that, after adjusting for volatility, Bitcoin's decline since President Trump took office is in line with these seven tech stocks.&nbsp;He stated, "I would say that, after adjusting for volatility, Bitcoin's trading is indeed firmly within this group of seven tech stocks plus Bitcoin." This suggests that Bitcoin's recent weakness reflects the weakness of overall risk assets, rather than a problem specific to Bitcoin. Among them, Tesla has fallen the most, while Meta and Apple have performed relatively well, and the trends of other stocks are similar to Bitcoin.<h3>&nbsp;</h3><h3>Standard Chartered Predicts Bitcoin to Rise Due to Economic Uncertainty</h3>&nbsp;Kendrick believes that there are two potential catalysts for market recovery: clarification of tariff issues (low probability) or accelerated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (probability of a rate cut at the May meeting rising from 50% to 75%, higher probability). He warned that if Bitcoin falls below the support level of $76,500 (November 6 high), it could quickly drop to $69,000. However, Kendrick emphasized that his long-term forecast remains unshaken, and he believes that economic uncertainty increases the likelihood of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates, which in turn strengthens his long-term expectation that Bitcoin will reach $200,000.&nbsp;Rock Zhang, founder and CEO of Network3 (an AI Layer2 platform), added context regarding the macroeconomic environment. He pointed out that if the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates early, and it is associated with recession indicators such as rising unemployment or slowing consumer spending, it could trigger concerns about a stock market downturn. He believes that the Fed's actions will depend on whether the rate cut is seen as a proactive measure or a response to recession indicators, which will affect market dynamics, and this may benefit Bitcoin in the long run.&nbsp;Therefore, despite increased short-term volatility, Standard Chartered maintains its optimistic forecast for Bitcoin, believing that it will overcome short-term risks and ultimately reach its target price of $200,000 by the end of 2025.&nbsp;

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</div>&nbsp;渣打预测比特币今年底将达20万美元。渣打银行数位资产研究全球主管Geoffrey Kendrick重申其长期预测：比特币将在2025年底突破20万美元大关。他认为，尽管短期内面临特朗普政府时期遗留的关税不确定性及经济衰退风险，这些因素反而强化了他对比特币的看涨预期。&nbsp;Kendrick的分析指出，近期比特币价格下跌，逼近2024年11月6日大选后69,000美元至76,500美元的区间。他将比特币30天隐含年化波动率（目前为55%）与美国「Magnificent Seven」(七大科技股) 作比较，发现经过波动率调整后，自特朗普总统就职以来，比特币的跌幅与这七大科技股相符。&nbsp;他表示：「我会说，在经过波动率调整后，比特币的交易确实稳固地处于这七大科技股加上比特币的群组内。」 这暗示比特币的近期疲软反映的是整体风险资产的弱势，而非比特币自身的问题。其中，特斯拉跌幅最大，Meta和苹果表现相对较佳，其他股票走势则与比特币相似。&nbsp;<h3>渣打预测比特币因经济不确定性而上升</h3>&nbsp;Kendrick认为，市场复苏的潜在催化剂有二：关税问题明朗化（可能性低）或美联储加速减息（5月份会议减息机率从50%上升至75%，可能性较高）。他警告，若比特币跌破76,500美元（11月6日高点）的支撑位，可能迅速跌至69,000美元。但Kendrick强调，他的长期预测并未因此动摇，反而认为经济不确定性增加了美联储减息的机率，进而强化了他比特币将达20万美元的长期预期。&nbsp;Network3（一个AI Layer2平台）的创始人兼行政总裁Rock Zhang补充说明了宏观经济环境。他指出，如果美联储提前减息，且与失业率上升或消费者支出放缓等衰退指标相关联，则可能引发股市下跌的担忧。 他认为，美联储的行动将取决于减息被视为主动措施还是对衰退指标的反应，进而影响市场动态，而这可能从长远来看有利于比特币。&nbsp;因此，尽管短期波动加剧，渣打仍维持其对比特币的乐观预测，认为其将克服短期风险，最终在2025年底达到20万美元的目标价位。

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</div>&nbsp;渣打預測比特幣今年底將達20萬美元。渣打銀行數位資產研究全球主管<a href="https://cftime.io/experts-predict-bitcoin-price-could-drop-to-80k/">Geoffrey Kendrick</a>重申其長期預測：比特幣將在2025年底突破20萬美元大關。他認為，儘管短期內面臨特朗普政府時期遺留的關稅不確定性及經濟衰退風險，這些因素反而強化了他對比特幣的看漲預期。&nbsp;Kendrick的分析指出，近期比特幣價格下跌，逼近2024年11月6日大選後69,000美元至76,500美元的區間。他將比特幣30天隱含年化波動率（目前為55%）與美國「Magnificent Seven」(七大科技股) 作比較，發現經過波動率調整後，自<a href="https://cftime.io/trumps-tariff-policy-hits-the-market/">特朗普</a>總統就職以來，比特幣的跌幅與這七大科技股相符。&nbsp;他表示：「我會說，在經過波動率調整後，比特幣的交易確實穩固地處於這七大科技股加上比特幣的群組內。」 這暗示比特幣的近期疲軟反映的是整體風險資產的弱勢，而非比特幣自身的問題。其中，特斯拉跌幅最大，Meta和蘋果表現相對較佳，其他股票走勢則與比特幣相似。&nbsp;<h3>渣打預測比特幣因經濟不確定性而上升</h3>&nbsp;Kendrick認為，市場復甦的潛在催化劑有二：關稅問題明朗化（可能性低）或美聯儲加速減息（5月份會議減息機率從50%上升至75%，可能性較高）。他警告，若比特幣跌破76,500美元（11月6日高點）的支撐位，可能迅速跌至69,000美元。但Kendrick強調，他的長期預測並未因此動搖，反而認為經濟不確定性增加了美聯儲減息的機率，進而強化了他比特幣將達20萬美元的長期預期。&nbsp;Network3（一個AI Layer2平台）的創始人兼行政總裁Rock Zhang補充說明了宏觀經濟環境。他指出，如果美聯儲提前減息，且與失業率上升或消費者支出放緩等衰退指標相關聯，則可能引發股市下跌的擔憂。 他認為，美聯儲的行動將取決於減息被視為主動措施還是對衰退指標的反應，進而影響市場動態，而這可能從長遠來看有利於比特幣。&nbsp;因此，儘管短期波動加劇，渣打仍維持其對比特幣的樂觀預測，認為其將克服短期風險，最終在2025年底達到20萬美元的目標價位。

Standard Chartered predicts BTC 200K

经济不确定性增反利好 渣打预测比特币今年底将达20万美元

經濟不確定性增反利好 渣打預測比特幣今年底將達20萬美元

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</div>&nbsp;Hong Kong has taken a significant step in embracing digital assets by allowing Bitcoin and Ethereum to be used as proof of assets for its investment immigration program. This means eligible applicants can now meet the program's required net worth of HK$30 million (approximately US$3.8 million) using these cryptocurrencies. Previously, applicants primarily relied on traditional assets like stocks and bonds. This policy from Invest Hong Kong marks a pivotal moment, setting a precedent for other jurisdictions globally.&nbsp;HashKey Group's chief analyst, Jeffrey Ding, highlighted the policy's multi-faceted significance: it opens Hong Kong's investment immigration program to a vast global pool of cryptocurrency holders, significantly expanding the target audience; inflows of crypto assets will boost liquidity in Hong Kong's capital markets, diversifying investment entities and asset classes, and creating a "on-chain-off-chain" asset verification dual-track mechanism, enhancing market vitality and international competitiveness; and finally, it's a major boon for the Web3 industry, attracting global talent and businesses, solidifying Hong Kong's position as a Web3 hub.&nbsp;However, implementation faces challenges. The anonymity and decentralized nature of cryptocurrencies complicate matching wallet addresses with real identities. Early investors may have diverse asset acquisition methods, lacking traditional bank statements. Data loss or compliance issues from some exchanges also increase the complexity of source-of-funds checks. The volatile nature of cryptocurrency prices poses a risk to application stability.&nbsp;Specifically, the program requires applicants to demonstrate ownership of designated investments worth at least HK$30 million within six months of submitting their visa application. Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) are now included as acceptable assets. To ensure authenticity and security, applicants must provide proof from regulated cryptocurrency exchanges or cold wallets.&nbsp;Invest Hong Kong processed its first applications using cryptocurrencies as proof of assets in October, with each application taking approximately one month to process. Two cases have already been successfully approved, encouraging further applications. Reports indicate a growing number of applicants are including Bitcoin and Ethereum in their asset documentation.&nbsp;This policy not only demonstrates Hong Kong's acceptance of emerging technologies and digital assets but also provides a new case study for cryptocurrency's application within the international financial system, attracting global cryptocurrency holders to Hong Kong's investment immigration program.

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</div>&nbsp;香港批准比特币作为投资移民资产证明。此举意味着，符合条件的申请者可使用这两种加密货币来满足计划中所需的3000万港元（约380万美元）资产净值要求。&nbsp;在此之前，申请者主要通过股票和债券等传统资产来证明其财力。香港投资推广署的这一新政策，标志着香港在接纳数位资产方面迈出了重要一步，也为全球其他地区提供了参考。&nbsp;HashKey Group 首席分析师 丁肇飞表示，此政策具有多重重要意义：首先，为全球大量加密资产持有者打开香港投资移民大门，大幅扩大目标客群；其次，加密资产的流入提升香港资本市场流动性，丰富投资主体和资产类别，更创建「链上-链下」资产验证双轨机制，提升市场活力及国际竞争力；最后，对Web3产业而言，此举是重大利好，有助香港吸引全球人才及企业，巩固其Web3产业中心地位。&nbsp;然而，此政策实施亦面临挑战：加密货币的匿名性和去中心化特性，增加了钱包地址与真实身份匹配的难度；早期投资者资产取得途径多元，缺乏传统的银行流水等证明文件；部分交易所数据遗失或合规性存疑，亦提高资金来源审查的复杂性；加密货币价格波动剧烈，可能影响申请稳定性。&nbsp;<h2>比特币作为投资移民资产证明 持有价值不少于3000万港元的指定投资</h2>&nbsp;根据计划规定，申请者需证明其在提交签证申请前六个月内，持有价值不少于3000万港元的指定投资，而比特币 (BTC) 和以太币 (ETH) 现已纳入可接受的投资资产范围。 香港投资推广署表示，为确保资产的真实性和安全性，申请者需提供相关证明，例如来自受监管的加密货币交易所或冷钱包的资产持有证明。&nbsp;香港投资推广署已于十月处理首批使用加密货币作为资产证明的申请，每个申请案的审核时间约为一个月。 目前已有两个案例成功获批，这也进一步激励了更多潜在投资者考虑使用此途径申请香港居留权。 最新的报告显示，越来越多的申请者将比特币 (BTC) 和以太币 (ETH) 作为其资产证明文件的一部分。&nbsp;此项政策的实施，不仅展现了香港特区政府对新兴科技和数位资产的接纳态度，也为加密货币在国际金融体系中的应用提供了新的案例，预计将吸引更多全球加密货币持有者关注香港的投资移民计划。

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</div>&nbsp;香港批准比特幣作為投資移民資產證明。此舉意味著，符合條件的申請者可使用這兩種加密貨幣來滿足計劃中所需的3000萬港元（約380萬美元）資產淨值要求。&nbsp;在此之前，申請者主要通過股票和債券等傳統資產來證明其財力。香港投資推廣署的這一新政策，標誌著香港在接納數位資產方面邁出了重要一步，也為全球其他地區提供了參考。&nbsp;HashKey Group 首席分析師 丁肇飛表示，此政策具有多重重要意義：首先，為全球大量加密資產持有者打開香港投資移民大門，大幅擴大目標客群；其次，加密資產的流入提升香港資本市場流動性，豐富投資主體和資產類別，更創建「鏈上-鏈下」資產驗證雙軌機制，提升市場活力及國際競爭力；最後，對Web3產業而言，此舉是重大利好，有助香港吸引全球人才及企業，鞏固其Web3產業中心地位。&nbsp;然而，此政策實施亦面臨挑戰：加密貨幣的匿名性和去中心化特性，增加了錢包地址與真實身份匹配的難度；早期投資者資產取得途徑多元，缺乏傳統的銀行流水等證明文件；部分交易所數據遺失或合規性存疑，亦提高資金來源審查的複雜性；加密貨幣價格波動劇烈，可能影響申請穩定性。&nbsp;<h2>比特幣作為投資移民資產證明 持有價值不少於3000萬港元的指定投資</h2>&nbsp;根據計劃規定，申請者需證明其在提交簽證申請前六個月內，持有價值不少於3000萬港元的指定投資，而比特幣 (BTC) 和以太幣 (ETH) 現已納入可接受的投資資產範圍。 香港投資推廣署表示，為確保資產的真實性和安全性，申請者需提供相關證明，例如來自受監管的加密貨幣交易所或冷錢包的資產持有證明。&nbsp;香港投資推廣署已於十月處理首批使用加密貨幣作為資產證明的申請，每個申請案的審核時間約為一個月。 目前已有兩個案例成功獲批，這也進一步激勵了更多潛在投資者考慮使用此途徑申請香港居留權。 最新的報告顯示，越來越多的申請者將比特幣 (BTC) 和以太幣 (ETH) 作為其資產證明文件的一部分。&nbsp;此項政策的實施，不僅展現了香港特區政府對新興科技和數位資產的接納態度，也為加密貨幣在國際金融體系中的應用提供了新的案例，預計將吸引更多全球加密貨幣持有者關注香港的投資移民計劃。

Hong Kong approves Bitcoin as proof of asset for investment immigration

香港批准比特币作为投资移民资产证明

香港批准比特幣作為投資移民資產證明 「有助香港吸引全球人才及企業」

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</div>Trump's return to the White House and his official inauguration as the 47th President of the United States have brought major changes to the cryptocurrency market. The price of Bitcoin broke through the historical high of $109,000 in response, which was generally interpreted by the market as a direct effect of Trump's pro-cryptocurrency stance. This victory not only provides a strong impetus to the price of Bitcoin, but also indicates that there may be a major shift in US cryptocurrency regulatory policy.&nbsp;During the campaign, Trump publicly expressed his positive attitude towards cryptocurrencies many times, and made it clear at the 2024 Bitcoin Conference that he would be committed to shaping the United States into the "global cryptocurrency capital and the world's Bitcoin superpower." He pledged to reduce the regulatory burden on the cryptocurrency industry, halt Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) enforcement actions against cryptocurrency companies, and plan to include Bitcoin in the U.S. strategic reserves alongside traditional assets such as Treasury bills. This move will have a profound impact on US monetary policy.&nbsp;<h3>Trump returns to the White House and begins to deliver on his cryptocurrency policy promises</h3>&nbsp;Trump's policy promises have begun to be fulfilled. He proposed approving exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that include cryptocurrencies such as XRP and SOL to provide more investment avenues and enhance the legitimacy of market participants. More importantly, he has initiated major changes in the SEC's leadership. Gary Gensler, who took office as SEC Chairman in April 2021, resigned on January 20, 2025. During Gensler's tenure, the SEC was very active in enforcing the law against cryptocurrency companies, which was seen by the industry as an obstacle to the development of cryptocurrency. His departure is seen as a signal that the Trump administration will change the SEC's tough stance on cryptocurrencies.&nbsp;<h3>Trump Appoints Pro-Crypto Mark T. Uyeda as Acting SEC Chairman</h3>&nbsp;Trump has appointed Mark Uyeda as acting chairman of the SEC. Uyeda is considered to have a more friendly attitude towards cryptocurrencies and is expected to reshape the SEC's regulatory strategy for the cryptocurrency industry. In addition, Trump also nominated Paul Atkins as SEC Chairman and appointed former SEC Chairman Jay Clayton as Manhattan Federal Attorney. Clayton, who served as SEC chairman between 2017 and 2020, was known for his balanced approach to regulation and openness to financial innovation, and his return heralds a possible more pragmatic and innovative approach to regulation from U.S. regulators.&nbsp;These appointments, coupled with the Trump administration’s aggressive push for a Bitcoin ETF, demonstrate its determination to integrate digital assets into the broader financial system. Market data also reflects this positive shift: last month, the assets under management of spot Bitcoin ETFs exceeded US$129 billion, surpassing gold ETFs for the first time, and large institutional investors such as BlackRock, Fidelity and ARK Invest have entered the market. In addition, companies such as Rumble and Metaplanet have also begun to include Bitcoin in their treasury reserves.&nbsp;Although it remains to be seen whether Trump's policies can be fully implemented, the price of Bitcoin has exceeded $102,024 and continued to climb to $109,000. The market is full of optimism about the future, heralding a "Bitcoin superpower" led by the United States. That time may be coming.

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</div>川普重返白宫，正式就任美国第47任总统，为加密货币市场带来重大变数。比特币价格应声突破109,000美元历史高位，市场普遍解读为川普亲加密货币立场的直接效应。 此次胜选，不仅为比特币价格带来强劲的推动力，更预示着美国加密货币监管政策可能出现重大转向。&nbsp;川普在竞选期间多次公开表达其对加密货币的正面态度，并在2024年比特币大会上明确表示，将致力于将美国塑造为「全球加密货币之都和世界比特币超级大国」。 他承诺减少对加密货币行业的监管负担，停止证券交易委员会 (SEC) 对加密货币公司的执法行动，并计划将比特币纳入美国战略储备，与国库券等传统资产并列。 此举将对美国货币政策产生深远影响。&nbsp;<h3>川普重返白宫，加密货币政策承诺已开始兑现</h3>&nbsp;川普的政策承诺已开始兑现。他提议批准包括XRP和SOL等加密货币的交易所交易基金 (ETF)，以提供更多投资途径，提升市场参与者的合法性。更重要的是，他已启动SEC领导层的重大变动。 2021年4月上任的SEC主席Gary Gensler已于2025年1月20日辞职。 Gensler任内，SEC对加密货币公司的执法行动十分积极，被业界视为对加密货币发展的阻碍。其离任被视为川普政府将改变SEC对加密货币的强硬立场的信号。&nbsp;<h3>川普任命亲加密货币Mark T. Uyeda为SEC代理主席</h3>&nbsp;川普已任命Mark Uyeda为SEC代理主席。 Uyeda被认为对加密货币持较为友善的态度，预计将重塑SEC对加密货币行业的监管策略。此外，川普还提名Paul Atkins为SEC主席，并任命前SEC主席Jay Clayton担任曼哈顿联邦检察官。 Clayton在2017年至2020年间担任SEC主席期间，以其在监管方面的平衡方法和对金融创新的开放态度而闻名，其回归预示着美国监管机构可能采取更为务实和创新的监管方法。&nbsp;这些人事任命，加上川普政府积极推动比特币ETF的态度，显示出其整合数字资产到更广泛金融体系的决心。市场数据也反映出这种积极的转变：上个月，现货比特币ETF的资产管理规模突破1290亿美元，首次超越黄金ETF，贝莱德、富达和ARK Invest等大型机构投资者纷纷入局。此外，Rumble和Metaplanet等公司也开始将比特币纳入其财政储备。&nbsp;尽管川普的政策能否完全兑现仍有待观察，但比特币价格已突破102,024美元，并继续攀升至109,000美元，市场对未来充满乐观情绪，预示着一个以美国为首的「比特币超级大国」时代或许即将到来。

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</div>特朗普重返白宮，正式就任美國第47任總統，為加密貨幣市場帶來重大變數。<a href="https://cftime.io/favorable-policies-are-key-in-the-trump-era/">比特幣</a>價格應聲突破109,000美元歷史高位，市場普遍解讀為特朗普親加密貨幣立場的直接效應。 此次勝選，不僅為比特幣價格帶來強勁的推動力，更預示著美國加密貨幣監管政策可能出現重大轉向。&nbsp;即加入<a href="https://t.me/+l--9PJpFdIgxOTk9">CFTime TG 討論區</a>！想掌握最新加密市場動態與 AI 新聞與資訊，更能隨時獲得免費 web 3入場券！&nbsp;特朗普在競選期間多次公開表達其對加密貨幣的正面態度，並在2024年比特幣大會上明確表示，將致力於將美國塑造為「全球加密貨幣之都和世界比特幣超級大國」。 他承諾減少對加密貨幣行業的監管負擔，停止證券交易委員會 (SEC) 對加密貨幣公司的執法行動，並計劃將比特幣納入美國戰略儲備，與國庫券等傳統資產並列。 此舉將對美國貨幣政策產生深遠影響。&nbsp;<h3>特朗普重返白宮 對加密貨幣政策承諾已開始兌現</h3>&nbsp;特朗普的政策承諾已開始兌現。 他提議批准包括 XRP 和 SOL 等加密貨幣的交易所交易基金 (ETF)，以提供更多投資途徑，提升市場參與者的合法性。 更重要的是，他已啟動SEC領導層的重大變動。 2021年4月上任的SEC主席Gary Gensler已於2025年1月20日辭職。 Gensler任內，SEC對加密貨幣公司的執法行動十分積極，被業界視為對加密貨幣發展的阻礙。 其離任被視為特朗普政府將改變SEC對加密貨幣的強硬立場的信號。&nbsp;<h3>特朗普任命親加密貨幣Mark T. Uyeda為SEC代理主席</h3>&nbsp;<a href="https://cftime.io/mark-t-uyeda">特朗普已任命Mark Uyeda為SEC代理主席</a>。 Uyeda被認為對加密貨幣持較為友善的態度，預計將重塑SEC對加密貨幣行業的監管策略。 此外，特朗普還提名Paul Atkins為SEC主席，並任命前SEC主席Jay Clayton擔任曼哈頓聯邦檢察官。 Clayton在2017年至2020年間擔任SEC主席期間，以其在監管方面的平衡方法和對金融創新的開放態度而聞名，其回歸預示著美國監管機構可能採取更為務實和創新的監管方法。&nbsp;這些人事任命，加上特朗普政府積極推動比特幣ETF的態度，顯示出其整合數字資產到更廣泛金融體系的決心。 市場數據也反映出這種積極的轉變：上個月，現貨比特幣ETF的資產管理規模突破1290億美元，首次超越黃金ETF，貝萊德、富達和ARK Invest等大型機構投資者紛紛入局。 此外，Rumble和Metaplanet等公司也開始將比特幣納入其財政儲備。&nbsp;儘管特朗普的政策能否完全兌現仍有待觀察，但比特幣價格已突破102,024美元，並繼續攀升至109,000美元，市場對未來充滿樂觀情緒，預示著一個以美國為首的「比特幣超級大國」時代或許即將到來。

Trump returns to the White House

川普重返白宫 加密货币市场迎接「比特币超级大国」时代？

特朗普重返白宮 加密貨幣市場迎接「比特幣超級大國」時代？

Trump returns to the White House 

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</div>Binance's Bitcoin reserves plummet to their lowest level since January, fueling market speculation of a significant price surge. Analysts point to similarities with earlier this year, when a similar reserve decline preceded Bitcoin's March surge to nearly $70,000. The current drop suggests a potential 90% price increase, according to some analysts.Data from CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost shows Binance's Bitcoin reserves have fallen to 570,000 BTC. Earlier this month, a dip to approximately 564,000 BTC briefly propelled Bitcoin above $100,000, before a slight rebound in reserves led to a minor price correction.Binance's shrinking Bitcoin reserves signal strong investor confidenceDarkfrost interprets the reduction in Binance's Bitcoin reserves as a sign of long-term confidence in Bitcoin, with investors withdrawing their holdings rather than holding them for short-term sales.Notably, spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), approved earlier this year by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), have seen net outflows exceeding $1.5 billion over the past four days.Farside Investors data reveals the largest single-day outflow in history on December 19th, totaling $671.9 million, ending a 15-day inflow streak. This massive outflow coincided with a significant market sell-off, pushing Bitcoin below $93,000 from above $100,000 before a subsequent recovery. Further outflows of $277 million, $226.5 million, and $338.4 million occurred on December 20th, 23rd, and 24th respectively, surpassing May's record when Bitcoin fell over 10% within a week.Simultaneously, Nasdaq-listed MicroStrategy announced the acquisition of 5,262 Bitcoin at an average price of $106,662, totaling approximately $561 million.This acquisition brings MicroStrategy's total Bitcoin holdings to over 400,000 BTC, following a previous $1.5 billion investment. MicroStrategy's accumulation strategy has set a precedent for other companies.The confluence of Binance's declining reserves, massive ETF outflows, and MicroStrategy's continued Bitcoin accumulation creates a complex and noteworthy situation in the Bitcoin market, warranting close observation of future developments.

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</div>全球最大加密货币交易所币安比特币储备已降至今年1月以来最低水平，引发市场对比特币价格可能大幅上涨的预期。分析师指出，此次储备下降与今年早些时候的情况类似，当时储备下降后，比特币价格在3月一度飙升至近7万美元，此次储备下降幅度暗示比特币价格可能再次出现90%的涨幅。根据CryptoQuant分析师Darkfrost的数据，币安的比特币储备已降至57万枚。本月初，当币安的比特币储备下降至约56.4万枚时，比特币价格首次突破10万美元大关，随后储备略有回升，比特币价格则小幅回落。币安比特币储备锐减 &nbsp;显示投资者对比特币的长期前景充满信心Darkfrost认为，币安的比特币储备减少，显示投资者对比特币的长期前景充满信心，选择从交易所提领比特币，而非短期持有以待售出。值得注意的是，美国证券交易委员会 (SEC) 今年早些时候批准的现货比特币交易所交易基金 (ETF) 在过去四天内净流出超过15亿美元。Farside Investors 数据显示，这些基金在12月19日出现历史上最大规模的单日流出，金额达6.719亿美元，终结了连续15天的资金流入。这波大规模资金外流发生在加密货币市场大幅抛售之际，导致比特币价格从10万美元以上跌至低于9.3万美元，之后才有所回升。 此后，这些基金在12月20日、12月23日和12月24日分别净流出2.77亿美元、2.265亿美元和3.384亿美元，规模已超过5月份创下的纪录，当时比特币价格在一周内下跌超过10%。与此同时，纳斯达克上市的商业情报公司MicroStrategy宣布增持5262枚比特币，平均价格为每枚106,662美元，总支出约5.61亿美元。此次增持后，MicroStrategy的比特币总持有量在本月初已超过40万枚，此前该公司已投资15亿美元购买比特币。 MicroStrategy的比特币累积策略已为其他公司树立了典范。 币安储备的下降，加上ETF的大规模资金外流和MicroStrategy持续增持比特币，共同构成了目前比特币市场的复杂局面，值得密切关注其后续发展。

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</div>全球最大加密貨幣交易所幣安比特幣儲備已降至今年1月以來最低水平，引發市場對比特幣價格可能大幅上漲的預期。分析師指出，此次儲備下降與今年早些時候的情況類似，當時儲備下降後，比特幣價格在3月一度飆升至近7萬美元，此次儲備下降幅度暗示比特幣價格可能再次出現90%的漲幅。根據CryptoQuant分析師Darkfrost的數據，幣安的比特幣儲備已降至57萬枚。本月初，當幣安的比特幣儲備下降至約56.4萬枚時，比特幣價格首次突破10萬美元大關，隨後儲備略有回升，比特幣價格則小幅回落。幣安比特幣儲備銳減 &nbsp;顯示投資者對比特幣的長期前景充滿信心Darkfrost認為，幣安的比特幣儲備減少，顯示投資者對比特幣的長期前景充滿信心，選擇從交易所提領比特幣，而非短期持有以待售出。值得注意的是，美國證券交易委員會 (SEC) 今年早些時候批准的現貨比特幣交易所交易基金 (ETF) 在過去四天內淨流出超過15億美元。Farside Investors 數據顯示，這些基金在12月19日出現歷史上最大規模的單日流出，金額達6.719億美元，終結了連續15天的資金流入。這波大規模資金外流發生在加密貨幣市場大幅拋售之際，導致比特幣價格從10萬美元以上跌至低於9.3萬美元，之後才有所回升。 此後，這些基金在12月20日、12月23日和12月24日分別淨流出2.77億美元、2.265億美元和3.384億美元，規模已超過5月份創下的紀錄，當時比特幣價格在一週內下跌超過10%。與此同時，納斯達克上市的商業情報公司MicroStrategy宣布增持5262枚比特幣，平均價格為每枚106,662美元，總支出約5.61億美元。此次增持後，MicroStrategy的比特幣總持有量在本月初已超過40萬枚，此前該公司已投資15億美元購買比特幣。 MicroStrategy的比特幣累積策略已為其他公司樹立了典範。 幣安儲備的下降，加上ETF的大規模資金外流和MicroStrategy持續增持比特幣，共同構成了目前比特幣市場的複雜局面，值得密切關注其後續發展。

Binance Bitcoin reserves plummet

币安比特币储备锐减 暗示价格可能暴涨90%?

幣安比特幣儲備銳減 暗示價格可能暴漲90%?

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</div>BlackRock's Bitcoin Explanation Video Sparks Debate: Is Bitcoin's Supply Truly Limited?&nbsp;BlackRock's recent explainer video on Bitcoin has ignited a heated debate within the cryptocurrency community, questioning the absolute guarantee of Bitcoin's 21 million coin supply limit and bringing the scarcity and value proposition of Bitcoin back into sharp focus.&nbsp;The controversy stems from a three-minute video released by BlackRock on December 17th, aiming to explain Bitcoin's fundamentals. The video highlights Bitcoin's 21 million coin supply cap as a key pillar of its value as a deflationary asset, stating that its hard-coded rules "control supply, purchasing power, and help avoid the potential risks of abusing the printing of ever more money." However, a disclaimer within the video stating, "There is no guarantee that Bitcoin's 21 million coin supply cap will not change," caused a significant stir.&nbsp;This disclaimer quickly sparked heated discussions online.&nbsp;Critics argued that it could potentially undermine Bitcoin's legitimacy. Joel Valenzuela, Director of Marketing and Business Development at Dashpay, voiced his skepticism. Ethereum developer Antiprosynthesis bluntly stated, "BlackRock understands Bitcoin better than Bitcoin maximalists." Conversely, Michael Saylor, Executive Chairman of MicroStrategy and a staunch Bitcoin advocate, retweeted the video, further amplifying its reach.&nbsp;Bitcoin's Unlimited Supply? Technically Feasible, but Costly&nbsp;Technically, altering Bitcoin's supply cap is theoretically possible through a hard fork. However, this would require a widespread consensus among all Bitcoin stakeholders—including node operators, developers, miners, and investors—a monumental task.&nbsp;Bitcoin developer "Super Testnet" (the force behind BitVM) pointed out that while a hard fork could create a new blockchain with an unlimited supply, it would no longer be the Bitcoin envisioned by Satoshi Nakamoto. "The inflation cap is a defining characteristic of Bitcoin," Super Testnet quoted from the Bitcoin whitepaper. "Remove it, and you don't have Bitcoin anymore." He further compared this to asking, "What would it take to turn Bitcoin into PayPal?"&nbsp;Any attempt to change the supply cap would face significant resistance. The 2016-2017 block size war serves as a precedent. A proposal to increase Bitcoin's block size limit garnered 95% miner support but still failed due to opposition from node operators and the broader community, ultimately leading to the creation of Bitcoin Cash.&nbsp;Miners' Economic Predicament and Bitcoin's Future&nbsp;The main argument against removing Bitcoin's supply cap is intrinsically linked to its long-term security model. Bitcoin miners rely on block rewards and transaction fees to maintain the network's operation. Block rewards halve every four years, currently at 3.125 BTC per block (approximately USD 316,950 at current prices), halving to 1.625 BTC in 2028. This will put immense pressure on miners' economic viability. The last Bitcoin is projected to be mined in 2140, after which miners will rely entirely on transaction fees for sustenance.&nbsp;Some argue that further development of Bitcoin's application layer, such as decentralized finance (DeFi) and NFTs, is necessary to sustain sufficient network activity and transaction fee revenue to support miners. However, periods of soaring transaction fees are typically short-lived, as seen during the Bitcoin Ordinals craze.&nbsp;A Philosophical Debate: Community Consensus and Bitcoin's Future&nbsp;The debate surrounding Bitcoin's supply cap is not merely a technical issue but a profound philosophical one. For many, the fixed supply is a core tenet of Bitcoin, and any alteration could lead to community schisms and competing chains. BlackRock's disclaimer, while hypothetical, reignited this debate, highlighting the complexities of Bitcoin's decentralized governance structure. Ultimately, whether Bitcoin's supply cap remains truly fixed depends on the collective will of its stakeholders to uphold its fundamental principles.

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</div>比特币可无限供应？全球最大资产管理公司BlackRock近期发布的比特币解说影片，因其暗示比特币2100万枚的供应上限并非绝对保证，而引发加密货币社群激烈争论，再次将比特币的稀缺性及其价值主张推至风口浪尖。&nbsp;BlackRock影片引爆争议：比特币可无限供应？&nbsp;BlackRock于12月17日发布的一段三分钟影片，旨在阐述比特币的基本面，将其2100万枚的供应上限作为其作为通货紧缩资产价值的关键支柱。影片中指出，比特币的硬编码规则「控制供应、购买力，并有助于避免滥用印制越来越多货币的潜在风险」。然而，影片中的一句免责声明：「无法保证比特币2100万枚的供应上限不会改变。」却引发轩然大波。&nbsp;此免责声明迅速在社群引发热议。批评者质疑此举可能损害比特币的合法性，例如Dashpay行销和业务开发总监Joel Valenzuela就表示怀疑。 而以太坊开发者Antiprosynthesis更直言：「BlackRock比比特币支持者更了解比特币。」 反之，MicroStrategy执行主席兼比特币坚定支持者Michael Saylor则转发了该影片，进一步扩大其影响力。&nbsp;比特币可无限供应？技术上可行，但代价高昂&nbsp;从技术层面来看，透过硬分叉，理论上可以改变比特币的供应上限。然而，这需要比特币所有利益相关者（包括节点运营商、开发人员、矿工和投资者）达成广泛共识，实属困难重重。&nbsp;比特币开发者「Super Testnet」（BitVM幕后推手）指出，虽然硬分叉可以创建一个供应无上限的新区块链，但它将不再是中本聪最初构想的比特币。 「通货膨胀上限是比特币的定义性特征，」Super Testnet引用比特币白皮书说道。 「取消它，你所拥有的就不是比特币了。」 他进一步比喻，这如同询问「把比特币变成PayPal需要做些什么」。&nbsp;任何改变供应上限的尝试都将面临巨大阻力。 2016年至2017年的区块大小战争即为前车之鉴，当时一项增加比特币区块大小限制的提案获得95%矿工支持，却仍因节点运营商和更广泛社群的抵制而失败，最终导致比特币现金（Bitcoin Cash）的诞生。&nbsp;矿工的经济困境与比特币的未来&nbsp;取消比特币供应上限的主要论点，与其长期的安全模型息息相关。比特币矿工依靠区块奖励和交易费用维持网路运作。区块奖励每四年减半一次，目前每区块奖励为3.125个比特币（以目前价格约合316,950美元），将于2028年减半至1.625个比特币，这将对矿工的经济生存能力造成巨大压力。预计最后一个比特币将在2140年开采出来，此后矿工将完全依靠交易费用维持生计。&nbsp;一些人认为，比特币的应用层发展，例如去中心化金融（DeFi）和NFT，必须进一步发展，才能维持足够的网路活动和交易费用收入，以支持矿工。 然而，交易费用飙升的时期通常较短暂，例如比特币序号热潮期间。&nbsp;哲学之争：社群共识与比特币的未来&nbsp;关于比特币供应上限的争论，不仅仅是技术问题，更是深刻的哲学问题。对于许多人来说，固定供应是比特币的核心原则，任何改变都可能导致社群分裂和竞争链的产生。 BlackRock的免责声明，虽然是假设性的，却重新点燃了这场争论，突显了比特币去中心化治理结构的复杂性。 最终，比特币供应上限是否真正固定，取决于其利益相关者维护其基本原则的集体意愿。

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</div>比特幣可無限供應？全球最大資產管理公司<a href="https://x.com/BitcoinMagazine/status/1869125598549061661">BlackRock近期發佈的比特幣解說影片</a>，因其暗示<a href="https://cftime.io/bitcoin-supply-limit/">比特幣2100萬枚的供應上限</a>並非絕對保證，而引發加密貨幣社群激烈爭論，再次將比特幣的稀缺性及其價值主張推至風口浪尖。&nbsp;BlackRock影片引爆爭議：比特幣可無限供應？&nbsp;BlackRock於12月17日發布的一段三分鐘影片，旨在闡述比特幣的基本面，將其2100萬枚的供應上限作為其作為通貨緊縮資產價值的關鍵支柱。影片中指出，比特幣的硬編碼規則「控制供應、購買力，並有助於避免濫用印製越來越多貨幣的潛在風險」。然而，影片中的一句免責聲明：「無法保證比特幣2100萬枚的供應上限不會改變。」卻引發軒然大波。&nbsp;<figure class="image"><img src="https://cftime.io/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/image-1.png" alt=""></figure>影片中的一句免責聲明：「無法保證比特幣2100萬枚的供應上限不會改變。」卻引發軒然大波。&nbsp;此免責聲明迅速在社群引發熱議。批評者質疑此舉可能損害比特幣的合法性，例如Dashpay行銷和業務開發總監Joel Valenzuela就表示懷疑。 而以太坊開發者Antiprosynthesis更直言：「BlackRock比比特幣支持者更了解比特幣。」 反之，<a href="https://x.com/saylor/status/1869132349465829799?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1869132349465829799%7Ctwgr%5E639a8e4c93a46251fd12c551b33f18acb7909d79%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&amp;ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fcoinpaper.com%2F6616%2Fblack-rock-disclaimer-sparks-controversy-on-bitcoin-scarcity">MicroStrategy執行主席兼比特幣堅定支持者Michael Saylor則轉發了該影片</a>，進一步擴大其影響力。&nbsp;比特幣可無限供應？技術上可行，但代價高昂&nbsp;從技術層面來看，透過硬分叉，理論上可以改變比特幣的供應上限。然而，這需要比特幣所有利益相關者（包括節點運營商、開發人員、礦工和投資者）達成廣泛共識，實屬困難重重。&nbsp;比特幣開發者「Super Testnet」（BitVM幕後推手）指出，雖然硬分叉可以創建一個供應無上限的新區塊鏈，但它將不再是中本聰最初構想的比特幣。「通貨膨脹上限是比特幣的定義性特徵，」Super Testnet引用比特幣白皮書說道。「取消它，你所擁有的就不是比特幣了。」 他進一步比喻，這如同詢問「把比特幣變成PayPal需要做些什麼」。&nbsp;任何改變供應上限的嘗試都將面臨巨大阻力。2016年至2017年的區塊大小戰爭即為前車之鑑，當時一項增加比特幣區塊大小限制的提案獲得95%礦工支持，卻仍因節點運營商和更廣泛社群的抵制而失敗，最終導致比特幣現金（Bitcoin Cash）的誕生。&nbsp;礦工的經濟困境與比特幣的未來&nbsp;取消比特幣供應上限的主要論點，與其長期的安全模型息息相關。比特幣礦工依靠區塊獎勵和交易費用維持網路運作。區塊獎勵每四年減半一次，目前每區塊獎勵為3.125個比特幣（以目前價格約合316,950美元），將於2028年減半至1.625個比特幣，這將對礦工的經濟生存能力造成巨大壓力。預計最後一個比特幣將在2140年開採出來，此後礦工將完全依靠交易費用維持生計。&nbsp;一些人認為，比特幣的應用層發展，例如去中心化金融（DeFi）和NFT，必須進一步發展，才能維持足夠的網路活動和交易費用收入，以支持礦工。 然而，交易費用飆升的時期通常較短暫，例如比特幣序號熱潮期間。&nbsp;哲學之爭：社群共識與比特幣的未來&nbsp;關於比特幣供應上限的爭論，不僅僅是技術問題，更是深刻的哲學問題。對於許多人來說，固定供應是比特幣的核心原則，任何改變都可能導致社群分裂和競爭鏈的產生。BlackRock的免責聲明，雖然是假設性的，卻重新點燃了這場爭論，突顯了比特幣去中心化治理結構的複雜性。 最終，比特幣供應上限是否真正固定，取決於其利益相關者維護其基本原則的集體意願。

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